Monthly Archives: May 2009

Preparing our expectations for the recovery

Market participants tend to talk about the stock market as “always” bottoming before the economy. Such bullish arguments presently forecast the economic bottom to trough this fall and therefore argue that March 2009 was “the” stock market bottom this cycle, … Continue reading

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Correcting faulty logic

Day three is now underway in this correction. Corrections are important to reign in animal spirits. Some faulty logic has been widely espoused along the following themes: -a hope that less bad economic data means “green shoots” as in the … Continue reading

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The difference between money in pocket and stuff

It is a common human story; when cash flow is strong and leverage is expanding, most people spend lots on stuff. Then when a downturn hits, few are ready with sufficient liquidity to weather the storm. This clip reminds us … Continue reading

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