As with all new technological upheavals, adoption starts slowly until an inflection point is reached and mass adoption moves rapidly through the population (aka S curve). Electric vehicles are now entering mass adoption because they are better than ICE vehicles. No one who goes electric wants to go back to dirty, more expensive to operate and maintain gas-guzzling vehicles.
Automakers, consumers, suppliers, gas station managers and governments, who aren’t preparing for this reality will be caught offside.
This year, fourteen of the top fifteen selling cars in Norway are all-electric. See Norway bans gas cars in 2025. But trends point to 100% EV sales as early as April.:
Norway is ahead of the game in EV sales, with gasoline’s share of the new car market vanishing more and more every month, faster than almost anyone outside of Electrek‘s Slack channel could have predicted. This has led Norway to have the earliest target for the phaseout of new gas vehicle sales in the world – 2025.
But gas cars might not even last that long. According to an analysis printed by the Norwegian Automobile Federation’s magazine, Motor, the downward trend in sales for gas cars has been so consistent and steep that the last new gas car sale in Norway could happen just seven months from now, in April 2022.
Also, see Air Pollution endangers billions, but a handful of technologies can make air clean again this decade.
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