Monthly Archives: February 2022

Years of mean reversion will punish present holders

With more than 70% of its 3600 c0nstituent companies down more than 20% from their highs, the sentiment-leading NASDAQ index is now trading below its 50-, 100–, and 200-day moving averages for the first time since March 2020. The 2020 … Continue reading

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Pop Quiz: What would it take to return the TSX to where it topped in 2008?

The oil and gas overweight (13%) in Canada’s TSX typically helps buoy the Canadian stock market late in each market cycle.  Oil prices leap, explode the highly levered global economy and then plunge with demand once more.  Comparatively, just 3% … Continue reading

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Yield curve and consumer sentiment flatten with January inflation

The consumer price index for January rose 7.5% compared with a year ago and was slightly higher than the consensus estimate of 7.2%.  As shown on the left courtesy of CNBC, this was the highest on this reading since February … Continue reading

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