Danielle’s bi-weekly market update

Wishing a safe and enjoyable Labour Day weekend to all!! Winter is coming!

Danielle was a guest with Jim Goddard on Talk Digital Network, talking about recent developments in the world economy and markets. Here is a direct video link.

Forty percent of the consumer price index (CPI) is goods (half of them imported to America). The US dollar at a 20-year high against major trading partners is a massive disinflationary force for US consumers. At the same time, it’s demand-crushing for other importing countries and non-US debtors who today owe record amounts of US dollars.

The chart below (courtesy of Liz Ann Sonders) shows the rapid easing in commodity shortages (blue) and pricing (yellow). As usual, inflation and the urge for central banks to tighten monetary conditions will follow these impulses lower, at a lag.

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