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Monthly Archives: May 2025
Yes, you can lose money in real estate
In the ‘easy-money’ ultra-low rate era, there was a lot of demand from secondary property owners for recreation or renting to others. Most were over the age of 50. An increasing number will look to sell to lower overhead/upkeep and … Continue reading
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Retail gone wild (encore)
The S&P 500 risk premium—forward earnings yield minus the 10-year Treasury yield—is once again about zero (below since 2000, via The Daily Shot). Such dismal equity risk-reward prospects have only been seen once in the last quarter century and that … Continue reading
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Summer of discontent
In April, Canada’s unemployment rate rose to 6.9%, the highest since September 2021 and 210 basis points above the July 2022 cycle low of 4.8% (shown below since 1950). Beata Caranci, chief economist at TD Bank, expects a recession in … Continue reading
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