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Author Archives: Danielle Park
Yield spread oil ratio-signaling bear market and recession
This morning, the spread between the ten and two-year U.S Treasury yields has narrowed to just .405%, and oil (WTI) has moved above $92. As shown below in my partner Cory Venable’s chart since 1990, when the ratio of these … Continue reading
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Years of mean reversion will punish present holders
With more than 70% of its 3600 c0nstituent companies down more than 20% from their highs, the sentiment-leading NASDAQ index is now trading below its 50-, 100–, and 200-day moving averages for the first time since March 2020. The 2020 … Continue reading
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Pop Quiz: What would it take to return the TSX to where it topped in 2008?
The oil and gas overweight (13%) in Canada’s TSX typically helps buoy the Canadian stock market late in each market cycle. Oil prices leap, explode the highly levered global economy and then plunge with demand once more. Comparatively, just 3% … Continue reading
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