Author Archives: Danielle Park

Extraordinary markets promise extraordinary opportunity for the prepared

In a product-creating financial world paid to sell us growth and inflation narratives, sober risk-reward assessments are not well tolerated.  In the past 24 years, I’ve had to be bearish more often than bullish, but it’s not my fault, in … Continue reading

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Central banks trying every trick to boost inflation

I have explained many times that central banks worry that falling inflation (disinflation) and outright deflation reduce the incentive for spending and capital flow into financial markets. The theory goes that if consumers and businesses believe that prices will be … Continue reading

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High market capitalization bodes poorly for investment returns

A December 2020 paper entitled The Big Bang:  Stock Market Capitalization in the Long Run, confirms that we have been living through a highly unusual period in financial markets. While advanced-economy stock market capitalization to GDP ratios were pretty constant … Continue reading

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