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Housing and recessions

The benchmark Canadian home resale price has fallen more than 21% in nominal terms (25-30% in real terms) from the 2022 cycle peak (shown below since 2020). But new home prices have fallen just 8% from the peak nationwide because … Continue reading

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Deflating housing bubble is a major macro force in 2026

Residential real estate is the most widely owned and highly leveraged asset class for households. For these reasons, housing cycles have outsized effects on consumer confidence, spending, the economy and financial markets. The deflating housing bubble will remain a major … Continue reading

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Gale-force winds will test fair-weather sailors

Global equities began the year near record highs, supported partly by continued enthusiasm around Artificial Intelligence (AI) investment and expectations of policy easing. However, February has seen more uneven performance: Technology shares have led the weakness as investors reassess how … Continue reading

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