Category Archives: Main Page

Another mean reversion candidate

The S&P 500 disconnected from real demand last fall on QE. Sustainable? This time different? Source: Chart source Bloomberg via zerohedge

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The reason we respect mean reversion

We bought interest sensitive, dividend paying equities in 2003 and 2009, after they had crashed lower by 50%. After soaring above reasonable value over the past three years on QE, we see evidence to suggest that the third price mean … Continue reading →

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Fed will taper due to costs of QE not economic growth

This morning the July US jobs report missed optimistic forecasts and June’s previously reported number was revised lower. Most significantly, the labor force participation rate ticked down once more while personal income grew less than hoped and June’s income numbers … Continue reading →

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