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This week, we learned that the US index of leading economic indicators (Conference Board LEI) contracted to 99.5 in October—the 32nd consecutive month of contraction and the longest since at least 1957 (all shown below courtesy of The Daily Shot). … Continue reading →

The S&P 500 is on track for its biggest election-year gain in 88 years. Still, according to the latest Conference Board Consumer Confidence Survey, the share of US consumers expecting stocks to rise further over the next 12 months has … Continue reading →

Since stock markets hit a two-year low last October, prices reflated on bets that artificial intelligence and central bank easing could solve spreading insolvency. Then came this month’s Republican sweep in the US election, and the crowd ordered another round. … Continue reading →