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In both directions. h/t @LanceRoberts
Lance Roberts @LanceRobertsThis is really pretty incredible.
US household holdings of equities and mutual funds reached a record 278% of disposable personal income in the second quarter of 2026, up from just 29% in 1982, amplifying the stock market’s influence on consumer spending and economic activity._________________________
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Bianco on what bank failures mean for overall system
Will spreading strife in banks prompt the US Fed to pause its tightening efforts this month? We will soon find out. Some worthwhile insights in this segment… We’ve had the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th largest bank failures in American history … Continue reading
Monetary shock with negative impacts through 2023 and 2025
An April 2023 NBER paper warns that the Fed’s rapid tightening actions since 2022 were a monetary shock that has negative economic impacts for this year and next. Mind the lags. See Does Monetary Policy Matter? The Narrative Approach after 35 … Continue reading
Three of the four largest US bank failures have happened since March
A decade of near-zero policy rates allowed banks to boost profits by paying next to nothing on customer deposits from 2011-2021. Then, everything changed. Below is a list of the largest seven US bank failures by asset size courtesy of … Continue reading
