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In both directions. h/t @LanceRoberts
Lance Roberts @LanceRobertsThis is really pretty incredible.
US household holdings of equities and mutual funds reached a record 278% of disposable personal income in the second quarter of 2026, up from just 29% in 1982, amplifying the stock market’s influence on consumer spending and economic activity._________________________
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Worst of stock market losses come during recessions and rate cuts
A negative US 10-year minus 3-month yield spread has signalled every incoming recession of the last 60 years (grey bars below courtesy of Charlie Bilello). The current reading, at -1.67%, is the most negative ever recorded. Still, bullish hopes spring … Continue reading
Grantham: this crisis is bigger than banks
We welcome back a very special guest, and that is billionaire and legendary investor Mr. Jeremy Grantham. I have been continuously amazed at how accurately Jeremy has been predicting future events over the last couple of years that we’ve been … Continue reading
Taleb on Bitcoiners, venture capital Ponzi’s and plumbers
Taleb is a character, to be sure, and he offers many cogent insights in this segment. I especially resonate with the idea that, unlike sales skills, expertise comes from first-hand risk work: seeing what goes wrong and cleaning up mistakes … Continue reading
