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A record number of leveraged bag-holders setting up the next lost decade+...have a plan & enjoy the journey!
“NYSE margin debt is reaching historic levels:” Deutsche Bank analysts. This is partly due to a “surprise dovish Fed pivot in Dec’23…Since Oct’23, NYSE margin debt has increased 136%, which is the fastest rate of margin debt expansion on record” except for February & March 2000
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Canada between rock and hard place
As expected, the Bank of Canada (BoC) cut overnight interest rates by 25 basis points yesterday, lowering the banking system’s base rate to 2.75%, the lowest since September 2022. In his prepared statement, BoC Governor Tiff Macklem struck a grave … Continue reading
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Extremes go both ways; it’s called mean reversion
And, it’s gone…the widely owned Magnificient 7 stocks (Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, Meta, Alphabet A, and Alphabet C), down a collective 20% from recent highs, have given back their Trumphoria election gains (see pink bank below, courtesy of my partner … Continue reading
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Housing downturns lead the worst recessions
Real estate, the most widely owned and highly leveraged asset class globally, has historically led the deepest economic downturns. Has a housing bubble ever burst without devastating pain across the economy and society? Unfortunately, not. It is far better not … Continue reading
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