Category Archives: Main Page

Ten-year yield cycles since 1993

Posted on February 2, 2018 by Danielle Park

Further to my recent article ‘Bond bear due for hibernation in 2018?’, my partner Cory Venable has prepared this insightful chart of 10-year US Treasury yield cycles since 1993. While the overall trend has been lower (solid purple line) throughout, … Continue reading →

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Bubble prices lock-in negative returns for years thereafter

Posted on February 2, 2018 by Danielle Park

Further to my points in Fun with S&P 500 snakes and ladders, Lance Roberts offered similar evidence yesterday in You should never time the market? and the below chart of  the real S&P 500 total return, over complete secular bull … Continue reading →

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‘Hyper-leveraging’ means Canada hyper-sensitive to mean reversion

Posted on February 1, 2018 by Danielle Park

Using high leverage–borrowing to ‘invest’ or spend–is like driving 200 miles an hour everywhere that you go. So long as weather is perfect, there are no turns, no judgement or mechanical problems, and nothing ever comes into your path, you … Continue reading →

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