Lies and deception boom imploding as usual

Revelations, negative revisions and write-downs are mounting in a broad range of firms that have been depending on financialization and accounting maneuvers to keep ‘beating’ targets over the past few years. The names may be different but the behaviors and gimmicks are all very familiar. Whether it be bank customers getting talked into ‘higher-yield product’ like collateralized deposits as a (precarious) place to put their savings [again] (see: Wall Street’s latest retail fleecing product exposed–structured CDO’s), or insider-trading and kickback schemes revealed (see: Former Amaya CEO was involved in kickback scheme, watchdog says), emissions-fraud at major car companies, or  Suspect sales at Fiat Chrysler, this epidemic of deceit and recklessness has been one for the many storied books of financial scandal. Here is a taste of the Chrysler Fiat revelations coming to the fore:

“…Fiat Chrysler has impressed over the years with its steadily rising sales. The automaker’s monthly results, with their drum-like beat of incremental increases, evoke an earlier era when many U.S. companies engineered their earnings to surpass expectations by pennies to please Wall Street.

Investigators are examining whether Fiat Chrysler improperly adjusted monthly numbers to show growth over the prior year, a person familiar with the matter said. They are looking into allegations the company ordered dealers to create false vehicle purchases, some of which were made in the names of friends and relatives of salespeople, including underage family members, the person said.” See: Suspect sales at Fiat Chrysler could be bad news

The recalculation so far, means that the automaker’s previously reported sales-growth streak actually ended three years ago in 2013.  For many companies and assets, the repricing needed will wipe out many years of apparent gains.

chrysler-revised-sales

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Distracted driving is the new reckless endangerment

As Apple announced the ability to play Pokemon Go on Apple watches, in Ontario, provincial police declared the recent Labour Day weekend the deadliest in 20 years thanks to distracted drivers. Distracted is the new reckless endangerment. Autonomous cars will help, but proliferation will take too long. We need to spread deterrence through social abhorrence, media campaigns and stiffer penalties. Intoxicated driving is considered criminal, it’s time to up the ante on texting behind the wheel too. One easy start:  it’s illegal to have open liquor inside vehicles.  We should make also make it illegal to have phones in the front seat within reach of drivers.  That behavior change would greatly reduce temptation. Apparently we have to.

Here is a direct video link.

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Oil glut to persist

Amid perennial hopes that an output freeze might boost prices in time to rescue over-levered producers and their investors/speculators, the reality is that with so many countries desperate for cash, output agreements are hard to reach.  Even where they are, cheating is a long established tradition.  And a freeze at record output levels amid falling world demand, is unlikely to buoy prices for long.

While oil prices have jumped more than 10 percent since early August amid speculation that Saudi Arabia and Russia can marshal a production freeze, their actions point in a different direction. Riyadh is pumping the most crude on record, while Russian oil output climbed above 11 million barrels a day for the first time since at least 1991, according to data published on the website of Energy Ministry’s CDU-TEK unit for start of September. See Biggest oil traders see another year of pain as glut persists. Here is a direct video link.

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