Fossil fuel receiving 4x the taxpayer subsidies of renewables

According to 2013 data, globally the coal, oil and gas industries benefited from subsidies of $550bn, four times those given to renewable energy.  And here’s a stat that Obama watchers can chew on:  although in 2009, President Obama called on the G20 to eliminate fossil fuel subsidies, since then US federal subsidies have actually risen by 45%.  As we head into North American election years, good to be reminded that campaign speeches and official actions typically have a negative correlation.

A Guardian investigation of three specific projects, run by Shell, ExxonMobil and Marathon Petroleum, found that the subsidies were all granted by politicians who received significant campaign contributions from the fossil fuel industry.  See:  US Taxpayers subsidizing world’s biggest fossil fuel companies. (no surprise there).

Limited taxpayer funds being diverted to enrich the largest, most profitable sector in the world is indefensible any day of the week –what about all that capitalist, survival of the fittest rhetoric, folks?  But it’s especially undermining when so many life-improving innovations are fighting to get a foothold in a rigged competition.  Further, when one considers the exponential costs that fossil fuels are compounding on to the world in unnecessary military operations, wars, environmental devastation from extraction and spills, carbon and toxin emissions, wasted water, as well as consumer funds burned in fuel costs that could be saved (through sustainable energy use) and allocated to a 100 other life-enriching areas, one realizes the madness of present policies.

What’s more we are literally overflowing in fossil fuels today.
Oil supplies
Despite record inventories in February, levered traders pushed commodity prices sharply higher over the past 2 months, enticing global production up to fresh all time highs in April. None of this is doing any favors for producers or investors in the space of course, although a lasting period of lower prices will help consumers pay down more debt.

See Oil Markets: Use your illusion:

Barclays points out that net speculative length in Brent crude futures has doubled since the start of the year to its highest level since data began being collected in 2011. A similar move has been seen in copper, despite that metal’s even higher exposure to a slowing China. Investor dollars have also surged into oil-linked exchange-traded funds since the start of the year.

The impression, then, is of a crowded speculative bet on oil, alongside other commodities, that is disconnected from the ongoing build-up in spare barrels. When the spell breaks, the drop could be swift.

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TEDx: The hidden power of siblings

Sending love to my own older brother and younger sisters today. Some interesting dynamics here to ponder…

Were you the favorite child, the wild child or the middle child? At TEDxAsheville, Jeffrey Kluger explores the profound life-long bond between brothers and sisters, and the influence of birth order, favoritism and sibling rivalry.  Here is a direct video link.

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Canada’s TSX having its 19th nervous breakdown

This morning we have news that wholesale prices in the US deflated .4% in April–the 5th decrease in the past 6 months and–a  decline of 1.3% over the past 12 months; far short of the Fed’s stated inflation targets.  Bonds are rallying on the non-inflation news. So far the US dollar is weaker and US stocks are ripping out of the gate on the premise that deflation means no rate hikes any time soon and perhaps maybe even, another round of QE ahead from the Fed’s impotent basket of tricks.

Canadian stocks are not so sanguine.  If there is no growth and no inflation then there is also little reason to bid commodities.  There is also less hope for Canadian wage growth or even further home price inflation to keep the Canadian household credit bubble expanding.  There is also no reason for companies to expand, or borrow to invest in productivity gains.

All that seemed so right about Canada into the 2008 cycle peak, has turned against the Great White North.  Once praised as a commodity superstar with stable banks, Canada is now increasingly noted globally as an embarrassment of household improvidence, sorely under-diversified and dependent on the antiquated economy of fossil fuels.

In all that has happened over the past 7 years, in all the trillions that have been wasted to re-inflate asset bubbles worldwide, the Canadian stock market still remains below its June 2008 cyclical peak.  What’s more, with deflation spreading and demand slowing, TSX valuations remain bloated and face steep mean reversion from here.  A debt boom and global adoration were nice while they lasted, but the payback will be more dramatic still.
TSX May 13 2015

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