Emerging markets and commodities in a post-QE world

The US dollar Index continues its ascent this morning as ‘Q’Ever’ draws to a close and global liquidity flows back to the greenback and US Treasuries and out of commodities, emerging markets and other currencies…

Over the past six years, quantitative easing has led to liquidity flowing from developed to developing countries. Now the US Fed has wound down QE, what are the prospects for emerging markets? Here is a direct video link.

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US has highest adult poverty rate of any OECD country

Good discussion on factors undermining US stability and strength…

University of Southern California Professor of Law Ed Kleinbard and Bloomberg View Editor Paula Dwyer discuss inequality and poverty in the U.S.  Here is a direct video link.

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Canada in world’s top 3 most unaffordable housing markets

With a national average home price of 416K (compared the US average of 250K), 5.3X the average household income of $78K, Canada has the distinction of being one of the top 3 least affordable realty markets in the world today.  And worse than the US was at the peak of its bubble in 2006, before US prices plunged an average of 35% and more than 50% in some of the ‘hottest’ areas like Phoenix and Vegas.
world's most unaffordable housingSee this link for slideshow of Top 10 most unaffordable housing markets in the world.

In simple terms the Canadian housing bubble is understandable. A major commodities producer, we were riding high on global sales and thought we were invincible until the commodities boom collapsed in 2008. Since then Canadian governments, banks and households continued on the “spend/lend it and growth will come” theory. Now Canada has the highest debt levels in decades as global demand has continued to weaken.

With oil now trading below the prices assumed in most optimistic budgets, the nation comes into what is likely a prolonged demand decline, sorely unprepared. Old lessons will be learned the hard way once more.

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