Household net worth, progress?

Many commentators are praising “gains” in US household wealth over the past 3 years of central bank support. But as we look at this chart of US household net worth as a percentage of after-tax income, over the past 15 years, intelligent people should recognize that this might as well be a chart of the S&P 500 through its fleeting booms and busts since the secular bear began in 2000. As documented in Robert Frank’s great book: The High Beta Rich, how the manic wealthy take us to the next boom, bubble and bust, spending and economies that are dependent on asset bubbles (and the the boom and bust tax revenues therefrom) are inherently unstable and vulnerable. Bubble prices always mean revert, leaving individuals, families and society as a whole, further and further behind in terms of financial progress, wealth and life years to recoup.

“Compared with last year, the well-off are probably feeling much better this holiday season. The less well-off, whose spending power is dictated more by gains in wages than wealth, aren’t feeling nearly as flush.
Beyond its uneven nature, spending fueled by rising asset values lacks the staying power that income-generated spending does. The Fed reported that third-quarter household net worth equaled 615% of after-tax income, up from 570% a year earlier.
That isn’t as high as the 662% hit in 2007, during the housing bubble, or 616% in 2000, during the dot-com bubble. But those periods are hardly benchmarks of health.” See: Wealth tide doesn’t lift all boats

It seems that even those who have seen their stock portfolios reflate rapidly over the past 12 months are feeling uneasy today. They have now lived through this extreme roller coaster ride 3 times since Y2K. See: Wealthy go frugal this holiday:

“With memories of the 2008 financial crash still fresh, some wealthy shoppers are questioning whether stock market gains to record highs are sustainable and cite conflicting reports about the economy, said Robin Lewis, a New York retail consultant.”

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Gross: “The Fed wants out of QE” in 2014

Good far reaching discussion:

Bill Gross, co-chief investment officer at Pacific Investment Management Co., talks about the outlook for the Federal Reserve’s program of quantitative easing, the state of the credit markets, investment strategy and the future of the City of Detroit following its bankruptcy.Here is a direct video link.

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Increased regulation leaves less room for bank profits

Good discussion and good charts on the bank index reminding that even after an incredible rally the past 2 years paid for by central banks, the US bank share index has just retraced half of shareholder losses in 2007-09.

Graham Fisher Managing Director Josh Rosner, Bloomberg’s Phil Mattingly and Adam Johnson discuss the Volcker Rule ahead of approval by U.S. regulators.Here is a direct video link.

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