IMF warns banks on resumption of risky behaviour

“The Bank for International Settlements has reportedly summoned central bankers to Basel this weekend on fears banks have returned to the risky behaviour that led to the crisis in 2007-08, and some inside the Fed are already calling for a more hawkish rate policy. Kansas City Fed president Thomas Hoenig, a voting member of the FOMC, said yesterday the Fed should move “sooner rather than later” to “curtail its emergency credit and financial support programmes, raise the federal funds rate from zero back to a more normal level, probably between 3.5% and 4.5%, and restore its balance sheet to pre-crisis size and configuration”.

See Rate rise stress tests must be more severe: banks warned

“Stockmarkets are still shy of their record peaks in most countries. The American market is around 25% below the level it reached in 2007. But it is still nearly 50% overvalued on the best long-term measure, which adjusts profits to allow for the economic cycle, and is on a par with two of the four great valuation peaks in the 20th century, in 1901 and 1966.”

See The Economist: Bubble warning: Markets are too dependent on unsustainable government stimulus. Something’s got to give

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Mort Zukerman: "Job losses show US still in the midst of recession"

Mort Zuckerman is a commercial real estate expert who serves as Chairman of the Board of Directors of Boston Properties in the US. This Bloomberg interview offers his current insight on the commercial real estate sector as well as the present state of the US economy and expected recovery. He also goes pretty easy on Geithner.
See the Bloomberg clip here.

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Good charts on Canadian housing market

Thanks to a reader who recently sent me a link to the Canadian Housing Price Charts blog site. This is a good source for up to date data on Canadian housing, interest rates and other asset price trends. Bottom line: Canada is historically over-valued in several key markets. See this Major Cities Chart. A reversion back to the mean could mean a 25% decline in the areas that have rallied strongly over the past year.

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