Another excellent time to review financial plans and risk-exposure

Rob Carrick’s Globe article last week bemoans a “second-opinion desert” for unbiased financial and portfolio reviews.  Noting a few online review services, Carrick concludes they are really designed as “sales promotion” for financial products and services.  That’s true, and it’s unfortunate because, particularly in the present financial mayhem, individuals are badly in need of unbiased, risk-assessments and insight on their holdings, plans and approaches. See What to do if you want feedback on your portfolio.  Here’s the gist:

In a hot stock market like we have now, we’re all genius investors. But realists know the test of smart do-it-yourself investing is to consistently generate the returns you need over long periods of time. If you have doubts about that, a second opinion makes sense.

Unfortunately, our current investing landscape is mostly a second-opinion desert.

…with newbies flooding into DIY investing these days, it’s a done deal that many are riding the wave and not thinking about the future much. A portfolio-health check, simplistic as it is, is better than flying blind into the next market downturn.

Not just do-it-yourselfers (DIYs), those with so-called ‘professional’ broker/fund/portfolio service providers can also benefit from a sober review and assessment.  The trouble is that in an equity culture dominated by product-underwriting, sales, services and firms, second-opinions often leave recipients none-the-wiser.

Even when wise financial counsel is found, many are not receptive and only look to change service-providers and approaches after major loss episodes.  Similar customer-migration patterns happen at the bottom of every cycle.  See this excellent article from The Medium for more insight on today’s mayhem: Everyone wants to get rich, and it’s driving us crazy.

In financial manias, the saying goes that ‘genius is before the fall.’  In real life, proactive review and sober risk management are a ‘genius’ with lasting benefits.

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The Fifth Estate: The missing millions

As forensic accountant Harry Markopulous explained in this interview from November, fraud has become rampant over the past decade enabled by lax regulation, complicit accounting firms and financial advisors and investors who are keen for gains but remiss in due diligence.  These factors all played a role in this recent Canadian story and thousands of others.

It was one of the biggest financial frauds in Canadian history. Millions of dollars were stolen from pensioners and every-day investors, some who lost their life savings. A judge convicted three Montreal men, including the founder of the once high-profile Quebec animation company Cinar. But while the perpetrators were sent to jail, a question persisted: Where was the missing money? Mark Kelley takes viewers on a journey searching for the missing millions, a story that includes secret accounts, exotic tax havens and even the Mafia. “The missing millions” airs on CBC Television on February 25.

Here is a direct video link.

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Grantham: A Historic Market Bubble

A worthwhile hour-long discussion on our historic market bubble.

Jeremy Grantham is the Long-Term Investment Strategist and Co-Founder at GMO. We cover the three key signs of a bubble, why Jeremy believes we are in a bubble right now and how it’s being led by retail rather than institutional investors:

“This bubble is more impressive even than 2000, which was the champion. About 80% of the value measures have this one higher. We’ll be rather lucky to have this bubble last until May.”

Here is a direct audio link.

Business Insider published 16 worthwhile quotes from the interview here.

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