Debt weight on the young is impediment for economy overall

A new study from Hoyes, Michalos & Associates Inc:  ‘Student Debt Crisis – a Generation Buried in Student Debt’ finds student debt contributed to 17.6% of Ontario’s reported insolvencies in 2018, and a record over the firm’s nine years of collecting such data.

Factors cited behind the insolvency “epidemic” are high tuition costs and an increased debt load owed to private lenders.  Meanwhile, 86% of those filing for insolvency are working, but the report notes “graduates leaving university often end up working in unpaid internships, part-time positions, and minimum wage jobs. They are increasingly unable to find a stable job with enough income to support both student loan repayment and living expenses.”

Corporate profits have enjoyed a decade of record growth, and surpressed wages have been a big part of that story.  Profits are also a reliably mean-reverting series historically and employers cannot have it all their way for ever.  Underpaid workers and unpaid internships are extractive and ultimately destructive to longer-term economic viability and social stability.  Companies will now have to give– by writing off bad debts and paying higher wages and higher tax rates–in order to get–in terms of more customers who can consume their goods and services.  This will lower corporate profits. Here is a direct video link.

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Danielle on The Financial Survival Network

Danielle was a guest with Kerry Lutz on The Financial Survival Network talking about recent developments in the world economy and markets.  Here is a direct video link.
Listen to “Danielle Park – End of the Bull Market? #4446” on Spreaker.

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Value discipline wins the full cycle race

A friend just sent me this clip.  A good many truths lie herein.  Just one stand out observation is that today the money business has replaced a focus on fiduciary and stewardship with a focus on ‘gathering your assets and taking a piece before you take them back from us again.” 

Unfortunately, trend following participants play a leading role in their own poor results.  True value managers have moved like tortoises amid price-indicriminant hares over the last 5 years.  But as in the old fable, tortoises always beat hares over full market cycles.   Today complacent hares are due for a period of deep comeuppance.

Mark Yusko, CIO and managing director of Morgan Creek Capital Management, talks with Grant Williams about how technological advancements have impacted the finance industry. Yusko discusses that investing strategies come in and out of fashion and how that applies to markets today. Here is a direct video link.

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