Juggling Dynamite

The median Canadian household income of $85k (Dec 2023) now qualifies for a maximum home price of $496k (assuming 20% down, 25-year amortization, and current mortgage rates (5-year fixed). That’s a problem since the average home price is $796k, an impossible 9.4x the median household income. The long-standing affordability rule is a home price no more than 3 to 4x annual household income.

In the graph below (courtesy of RBC), we can see that when mortgage rates were sub 3% in 2019-21, the median household income of around 80k qualified to buy a maximum home price of $652K, roughly in line with the then average Canadian home price of $636K. But this was still a crippling 8x the median household income.

Then prices went parabolic, and interest rates tripled in 18 months. Now, Canada is paying for years of reckless policies and behaviours with the Toughest Time Ever to Afford a Home. Costs of the epic misallocation of resources continue to compound through reduced productivity and less cash for everything else.

Nationally, home sale prices have fallen 12% from the 2022 peak of $838k, but more is needed. Canadian home affordability remains the worst in over 40 years, with ownership costs demanding an impossible 63.5% of the median household income in 2024 nationally, 106% in Vancouver and nearly 85% in the Greater Toronto Area. Only Edmonton has prices low enough that ownership costs are less than 40% of household income.
The long-standing affordability rule is that no more than 32% of a household’s gross annual income should go to mortgage principal, interest, property taxes, heating costs, and condo fees (total debt service (TDS) ratio).

Interest rates are historically average today. Suppressing them to uneconomical lows is the disease, not the cure. Only lower for longer home prices can meaningfully restore shelter affordability and help free up resources for other essential spending and investment.

It’s not just crypto that’s lawless; it’s finance and many large corporations. Without equal prosecution and punishment prospects for all, we undermine the rule of law on which democracies depend.

Mainstream finance companies that sell themselves as prudent and trustworthy while packaging gambling products to sell to the masses compound the harm.

Better Markets CEO Dennis Kelleher speaks truth to power daily, but few listen until it’s too late and losses are widespread.

Here is a direct video link.

Profits at the expense of life and limb should not be subsidized and enabled by public policy. Listen and share.

Many of us are aware that a steady diet of candy, cookies and soda isn’t the best thing for our health, but few know just how dangerous these products can be. Physician and public health expert Dr. Dean Schillinger has witnessed the “absolute explosion” of Type 2 Diabetes in America. Dr. Schillinger is founder of the University of California San Francisco Center for Vulnerable Populations, Professor of Medicine in Residence at UCSF and was featured in the PBS documentary on diabetes, “Blood Sugar Rising.” He believes that sweeping legislative and societal changes are necessary to reverse the ravaging effects of this disease. Dr. Schillinger shares with host Alec Baldwin how corporations knowingly fuel our addiction to sugar, why the disease disproportionately affects vulnerable populations and the most important change you can make to help fight diabetes. Here is a direct audio link.