Increasing government debt to enable share buybacks is dumb, it should be illegal

Another new study confirms what has been abundantly clear for years now: stock price manipulation via rampant share buybacks is weakening worker compensation, capital investment, innovation, productivity, corporate balance sheets, and future economic resilience.  See The Atlantic’s Are buybacks starving the economy? for a worthwhile update:

In recent years, with corporate profits high, American firms have bought their own stocks with extraordinary zeal. Federal Reserve data show that buybacks are now equivalent to 4 percent of annual economic output, up from zero percent in the 1990s. Companies spent roughly $7 trillion on their own shares from 2004 to 2014, and have spent hundreds of billions of dollars on buybacks in the past six months alone.

…The growth of buybacks and growing research on the perils they pose has increased interest in regulatory or legal action to bar or limit them. Tung and Milani argue that companies should be required, as they were before the 1982 rule change, to provide dividends rather than purchase shares with their cash. “Issuing cash dividends (regular or special) has a less predictable and manipulative impact on a company’s stock price—and thus is less prone to gaming by executives or activist investors for their own gain,” they write. “Dividends also do not have the same potential as buybacks to mask the market and balance sheet impacts of increasing executives’ stock-based compensation.”

Meanwhile it is critical to comprehend a connection here:  the recent Trump corporate tax cuts are ballooning the national debt to enable this madness, as companies are using their windfall for even more buybacks in 2018.  Shoveling cash into obscenely over-valued financial assets is like shoveling it into a wood stove.  It burns bright for a bit before going up in smoke and leaving zero lasting benefit.  This is dumb and dumber-style resource management.

As shown below, even before recent cuts, US tax receipts had fallen near the lows that marked the start of previous recessions. 
It is essential to get smarter and more efficient with limited resources.  Progress cannot afford reckless waste to continue.  A reinstatement of laws banning buybacks as market manipulation is inevitable because its necessary. In March democratic senators proposed a bill to do just that, it now needs political power to pass. Ongoing economic strife is likely to bring it. See Dems offering bill aimed at stemming share buybacks:

The bill would repeal a Securities and Exchange Commission rule that makes it easier for companies to do stock buybacks, and it would also end corporations’ ability to repurchase stocks on the open market. Companies would still be able to buy back shares through tender offers, which are subject to more disclosure requirements than open-market purchases, according to the release from Baldwin’s office.

Additionally, the measure would require one-third of a public company’s board to be chosen by its workers.

Groups such as the AFL-CIO, Take On Wall Street and Americans for Financial Reform are supporting the bill.

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Worthwhile read: US stocks are in a bubble

A useful piece with some illuminating charts from Jesse Colombo this week, read US stocks are in a bubble. This comment on passive investing is the critical point that long-always advocates recklessly ignore:

The proponents of passive investing point out that the passive approach is much cheaper than the active approach in terms of management fees, brokerage commissions, and other costs.

They also posit that few active investment managers consistently beat the major stock indices over the long run, so investors are better off holding index funds or ETFs. While the proponents of passive investing make some valid points, they are ignoring a glaring risk of their approach:they never sell out of the market, even when it is extremely overvalued as it is currently.

This issue should not be taken lightly because…it takes an average of twenty-two years for investors just to break even if they start investing at high valuations like we have today. Twenty-two years is a very high percentage of the time most investors have to build up a retirement fund, which is usually a few decades at most. Investing in stocks at the wrong time can completely ruin one’s retirement plans.

Extreme asset over-valuations and years of self-destructive policies and behaviors have assured that the next bear market will be of historic proportion and financial harm.

Whether it starts next month, or next year will be irrelevant in the end, because those exposed will see years of apparent net worth gains vaporized in months, and lack of preparedness, liquidity crunch and terror will force selling near cycle lows for many.

The vast majority of market participants today will end up far worse off than if they had kept their savings in cash and guaranteed deposits for the last 20 years, and all the recent boasting about ‘performance’ will be moot. Centuries of history are ours for the noting.

This chart from Jesse’s article showing the Tobin Q valuation ratio (total stock market value divided by the total replacement cost of assets) for US stocks since 1900 is a beauty.

Bottom line: Financial markets have never been more manic than in the last 20 years, and never more capital dangerous than they are today.  Given these are the facts at hand, the question must be what is our plan to survive and thrive these conditions within our own finite time horizons? Wilful blindness and ignorance will not help.  Eyes wide open.

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Must watch doc: What the Health

With record government debt and expenses compounding out of control in most countries, higher consumption and corporate taxes, as well as spending cuts are necessary for financial viability.  More efficient policy and operations around food and energy are the most obvious areas to focus.

To eliminate unnecessary (and unaffordable) costs while increasing productivity and quality of life for the masses, young and old, a food evolution is in process.

For an illuminating new documentary on this topic, we recommend “What the Health” now available on Netflix or for rent on vimeo here. Here is a link to the trailer.

“With heart disease and cancer the leading causes of death in America, and diabetes at an all-time high, the film reveals possibly the largest health cover-up of our time.

With the help of medical doctors, researchers, and consumer advocates, What the Health exposes the collusion and corruption in government and big business that is costing us trillions of healthcare dollars and keeping us sick.”

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