Hillary Clinton’s war on Wall Street?

I am skeptical in general of both parties and their commitment to make needed reforms to status quo rules. Talk is cheap and lobbyists and big business money runs deep.  More than 40 years in politics, the Clintons have a particularly long history of troubling relationships with investment bankers.  But I am also reminded that Clinton has worn many hats and taken many different and often opposing positions on issues over the years, depending on what role she was serving.  (And yes, Trump has too).  This can be interpreted as unprincipled or self-serving.   But it is also the nature of being a politician.  Bernie Sanders is one of the few who remained remarkably constant in his expressed positions over the decades.   But then, he wasn’t given an opportunity to lead his party.  So perhaps that shows the cost of consistency and personal integrity in politics.  It’s also why I would never run for political office.  That said, someone has to.

Better Markets CEO, Dennis Kelleher says he believes a Clinton President will crack down on Wall Street. Only time will tell the difference between actions and promises. But his Politico article is optimistic and he offers cases in point.  See Hillary Clinton’s war on Wall Street:

Sanders supporters and others are rightfully concerned that Clinton’s many connections to, large speaking fees from and past positions on Wall Street are indicators that a President Hillary Clinton would be less aggressive on the biggest financial firms than candidate Clinton says she’ll be. But, many of those activities are from some time ago and fail to recognize the concrete specifics of her anti-Wall Street plan, which Clinton simply will not be able to walk away from once in office. It also fails to properly acknowledge what she has done much more recently to demonstrate her commitment to regulating Wall Street.

We still have our concerns. The devil will be in the details if Clinton is elected and her success will depend in part on her nominations for key financial regulatory positions.

But, if Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Bank of America and Wall Street’s other too-big-to-fail financial firms think a President Hillary Clinton would reward their friendship, contributions and history with favorable light touch regulation, they appear to be in for a big—and well-deserved—surprise.

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Ontario needs to enact foreigner buyer tax too

B.C.’s government surprised many observers on Monday by announcing an additional 15 per cent property transfer tax on foreign homebuyers. BMO Capital Markets Chief Economist Doug Porter called the move “entirely justified” amid persistent double-digit home-price gains in the province.

“Business as usual is not going to cut it,” Porter wrote in a report to clients. “Given that single-detached prices in the Greater Toronto area have jumped almost 20 per cent y/y, the Ontario government should take a long look at a similar move.”Here is a direct video link.

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Money laundering flows into Canadian real estate

Vancouver and Toronto have been first in line in Canada for international flows hiding from their home governments. But over-valuations, reckless leverage and financial risk have now spread well beyond these two centers, weakening Canadian households, the economy and our financial system.  As liquidity and cash flow evaporates in the many highly indebted countries that are facing falling exports worldwide, we should expect intensifying government crackdowns and capital flows to stem the flow into places like Canada.  Flows never go one way forever.  When they subside, Canadians will be left with the revelation that current realty market valuations make no sense relative to domestic incomes, and price mean reversion is necessary to restore affordability.

Christine Duhaime with Duhaime Law has made her career out of tracking money illegally entering the country, and says there’s no doubt the inflow to Canada is substantial.

She says China and its banks currently have a big problem with its citizens borrowing money, then fleeing the country and defaulting on the loans. Here is a direct audio link.

“So it’s not really just China, it’s just that the most amount of money – in terms of money moving into mansions – is from China. And then it appears to be Iran the second amount, so it’s not just one country, it’s just the largest. And I don’t think that’s racist, it’s just factual.”

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