Demographics, debt and deflation

Harry Dent is an entertaining speaker, and this hour long presentation is worth listening to.

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7 Responses to Demographics, debt and deflation

  1. aliencaffeine says:

    Too bad his ETF labeled “DENT” didn’t make it very well. I think old Harry disbanded it. Nice idea Harry, but it ‘didn’t work out as planned’.

  2. dazzo says:

    Isn’t this the same Harry Dent who many years ago was predicting Dow 36,000 or something similar?
    Well a broken clock is right every so often…………

  3. I think it was…not saying I have agreed with his stock market calls, but I think the demographic trends he reviews in this clip are relevant.

  4. William says:

    1. Demographics DO play a MAJOR role in the economy but to say that it determines everything is ridiculous.
    2. Inflation in the 2nd half of the 1960s and the 1970s caused by demographics ? ridiculous !

  5. ok thanks William, so not Dent.

  6. William says:

    Harry Dent actually did forcast the DOW Jones to hit 40.000. But obviously, it didn’t go to that point. And anyone who has read his book “The Great Crash Ahead” (I bought and read it after I saw this blogpost and his presentation) and has consumed a lot of charts can come up with an explanation.
    1. Since about 1981 purchasing power of US wages kept falling
    2. From about 1975 US household income went and peaked in 2000. After 2000 there was another peak (late 2007/very early 2008) in household income but that peak was actually LOWER that the peak of 2000.
    3. See what happened since 2000 with the CRB index (rose about 4 fold in USD) and the price of oil (went up sevenfold in USD, in EUR and CAD oil went up only a “mere” three and a half times.

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